Today

Schedule
Batik?

Tomorrow

Schedule
Maybe go outside?

Teams

Pacific Central Metro Atlantic
ANA ARI CAR BOS
CGY CHI CBJ BUF
EDM COL N.J DET
L.A DAL NYI FLA
S.J MIN NYR MTL
SEA NSH PHI OTT
VAN STL PIT T.B
VGK WPG WSH TOR

Current Models

sG: Synthetic Goals August 4, 2023
Magnus 7 (xG / Shooting / Goaltending) June 19, 2023
Magnus 7 (EV Shot Rates) August 2, 2023
Magnus 7 (ST Shot Rates) August 13, 2023
Magnus 7 (Penalty Rates) August 9, 2023
Magnus 7 (Game Simulation) October 4, 2023
Expected Team Points (Single Games) August 16, 2022
Shootiness September 13, 2023

Reference

Shot Location Bias October 29, 2020
Gold Drafting July 6, 2020
Triple-Lottery Probabilities March 27, 2018
Playoff Cutoffs October 29, 2015
Coaching Impacts (Magnus 2) September 24, 2019

Defunct Models

Magnus 6 (Game Simulation) September 27, 2022
Magnus 6 (ST Shot Rates) September 6, 2022
Magnus 6 (Penalty Rates) September 6, 2022
Magnus 6 (EV Shot Rates) August 18, 2022
Magnus 6 (xG / Shooting / Goaltending) July 18, 2022
Magnus 5 (Game Simulation) September 14, 2021
Magnus 5 (Penalty Rates) August 29, 2021
Magnus 5 (ST Shot Rates) August 28, 2021
Magnus 5 (EV Shot Rates) August 23, 2021
Magnus 5 (xG / Shooting / Goaltending) July 17, 2021
Magnus 4 (Game Simulation) December 15, 2020
Magnus 4 (EV Shot Rates) November 26, 2020
Magnus 4 (xG / Shooting / Goaltending) November 17, 2020
Magnus 3 (EV Shot Rates) April 20, 2020
Magnus 3 (xG / Shooting / Goaltending) March 26, 2020
Magnus 2 (EV Shot Rates) September 12, 2019
Magnus 2 (Shooting and Goaltending) September 24, 2019
Magnus 2 (Game and Season Sim) September 24, 2019
Model Description: Magnus September 30, 2018
Model Description: Edgar September 19, 2017
Season Simulations with Cordelia September 28, 2016
Model Description: Cordelia September 26, 2016
Model Description: Oscar October 6, 2015

Previews & Reviews

Season Preview 2023-2024 October 4, 2023
Playoff Preview 2022-2023 April 17, 2023
Season Preview 2022-2023 October 3, 2022
Playoff Preview 2021-2022 May 3, 2022
Season Preview 2021-2022 October 5, 2021
Regular-Season Retrospective 2020-2021 July 20, 2021
Season Preview 2020-2021 January 4, 2020
Season Preview 2019-2020 September 26, 2019
Regular-Season Retrospective 2018-2019 April 26, 2019
Season Preview 2018-2019 October 1, 2018
Playoff Preview 2017-2018 April 11, 2018
Season Preview 2017-2018 September 25, 2017
Regular-Season Retrospective 2016-2017 May 9, 2017
Playoff Preview 2016-2017 April 11, 2017
Season Preview 2016-2017 October 3, 2016
Season Preview 2015-2016 October 6, 2015

Articles

Age & Decay November 28, 2022
Blueline Traversals February 16, 2022
Score Sequencing February 8, 2020
Standardized Goals Against May 31, 2017
Leverage August 6, 2016
Shots in Shifts, Part 2 November 19, 2015
Which regular-season qualities predict playoff success? November 5, 2015
A new method for score-adjustment October 2014
Shot Generation and Shot Suppression are Mostly Independent September 4, 2015
Shots in Shifts, Part 1 August 27, 2015
Schedule Adjustment for Counting Stats November 25, 2014
Adjusted Shot Metrics November 12, 2014

Talks

SEAHAC Age and Decay slides December 4, 2022
OTTHAC Ice Position slides video March 27, 2021
CBJHAC Score Sequencing slides February 8, 2020
RITSAC Age Remains Undefeated slides September 14, 2019
SEAHAC Competent Goalie Evaluation slides March 9, 2019
OTTHAC Isolating Individual Skater Impact on Shot Quantity and Quality slides video September 15, 2018
VANHAC Threat slides video March 3, 2018
RITHAC Edgar slides October 21, 2017
OTTHAC Goalie Brouhaha slides video May 6, 2017
RITHAC Gold Drafting slides video September 10, 2016
VANHAC Pressure slides April 25, 2016
OTTHAC Ice Position Gained and Lost Doesn't Matter slides January 16, 2016
RITHAC Zone Starts Don't Matter slides video October 10, 2015
DCHAC Player Icetime Doesn't Explain Score Effects slides video April 14, 2015